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Sparse trajectory prediction method based on iterative grid partition and entropy estimation
LIU Leijun, ZHU Meng, ZHANG Lei
Journal of Computer Applications
2015, 35 (11):
3161-3165.
DOI: 10.11772/j.issn.1001-9081.2015.11.3161
Concerning the "data sparsity" problem of moving object's trajectory prediction, i.e., the available historical trajectories are far from enough to cover all possible query trajectories that can obtain predicted destinations, a Trajectory Prediction Algorithm suffer from Data Sparsity based on Iterate Grid Partition and Entropy Estimation (TPDS-IGP&EE) was proposed. Firstly, the moving region of trajectories was iteratively divided into a two-dimensional plane grid graph, and then the original trajectories were mapped to the grid graph so that each trajectory could be represented as a grid sequence. Secondly, an L-Z entropy estimator was used to calculate the entropy value of trajectory sequence, and a new trajectory space was generated by doing trajectory synthesis based on trajectory entropy. At last combining with the Sub-Trajectory Synthesis (SubSyn) algorithm, sparse trajectory prediction was implemented. The experimental results show when trajectory completed percentage increases towards 90%, the coverage of the Baseline algorithm decreases to almost 25%. TPDS-IGP&EE algorithm successfully coped with it as expected with only an unnoticeable drop in coverage, and could constantly answer almost 100% of query trajectories. And TPDS-IGP&EE algorithm's prediction accuracy was generally 4% higher than Baseline algorithm. At the same time, the prediction time of Baseline algorithm to 100 ms was too long, while the prediction time of TPDS-IGP&EE algorithm could be negligible (10 μs). TPDS-IGP&EE algorithm can make an effective prediction for the sparse trajectory, providing much wider predicting range, faster predicting speed and better predicting accuracy.
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